Just in time for your patriotic 4th of July pleasure, Andrew Northrup does the numbers and tells us that W isn't as invincible as all those other guys keep telling us.
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I really think Bush is going to be very weak in the next election, and that questions of competence will be his weakness. Looking at the NY Times today, the top stories are the highest unemployment rate in almost a decade, and ten American soldiers wounded in Iraq on the day after Bush said "There are some who feel like — that the conditions are such that they can attack us there. My answer is, bring them on." These do not speak to me of wise leadership.
I suspect that those single question Bush approval ratings are something of a chimera. Most Americans, including non-conservatives, want the best for their country, which means they want to believe that Bush knows what he's doing, whatever sandy Andy (that would be Sully I have in mind) may think.
Andrew N. makes an important patriotic point here, for anyone who wants to deprive Bush of those extra four years; keep up the intelligent pressure, but be patient too, it takes time for bad news to sink in.