Reading the Tea Leaves

I've been on record as saying I wasn't sure Clark's candidacy would really cause the kind of excitement his supporters assumed it would. I think it's early to tell if that's true or not, but obviously that prediction has taken a serious knock.

My other prediction, however, seems to be doing okay still - that Clark's candidacy would take much more support from the other candidates than from Howard Dean. Judging from the one poll out since his announcement, that appears to be the case. The biggest victim - Dick Gephardt.

Clark 14 (*)
Dean 12 (12)
Lieberman 12 (13)
Kerry 10 (10)
Gephardt 8 (14)
Sharpton 7 (6)
Edwards 6 (6)
Graham 4 (7)
Braun 2 (3)
Kucinich 2 (2)
Don't Know 19 (23)