Well, I suppose it's time. Kerry +3 in the popular vote. Electoral votes=(Gore States)+(New Hampshire+Ohio). Which, if I've clicked the little map correctly makes it 284-254.
...let me add that possible "bonus states" if things go well are Colorado, Florida, Nevada, and Arkansas. Possible "oh shit we're in trouble" states are Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Iowa. Obviously Ohio could be a disappointment too.