I've been seeing some people expressing concern that maverickyness may permit McCain to pull this out. Please note:
1) He's a terrible candidate. He's undisciplined, incoherent, ill-tempered and can't read a teleprompter.
2) They're running a terrible campaign. They haven't picked a logo or a slogan yet, and lime green jello is still in the running as their color scheme.
3) He's way behind, already, and right track/wrong track is at 14/80.
The media is going to desperately try to make this a horse race. Don't be fooled. Think Bob Dole. Or Chevy Chase as Gerald Ford. Jay Newton-Small will always find a weird cross-tab, and Richard Cohen will always say being a POW justifies every bit of incoherent babbling.
They're wrong.