I've mostly resisted the temptation to spend my days staring at an electoral college calculator and state level polls, trying to figure out paths to victory. I've been thinking "he needs Kerry states plus a couple" and been aware enough of what those "couple" need to be. I broke down today and starting
playing with one. It's preset with the 2004 results. In any case, I started playing around and realized that if polls are reasonably close to being accurate... Obama will win. Bowers
provides actual useful information.
