I've said it many times, but Covid was Trump's opportunity to cruise to re-election. He wouldn't have even had to have done a much better job, just reduced his obvious incompetence and malevolence by a small bit.
Not that I know what's going to happen on Tuesday, as things are mostly not what they should be! But he'd be favored to win without the Supreme Court's coup attempt, or at least a 50-50 or so chance, if he could have just not shit himself on TV for 8 months.