Monday, May 31, 2021

Happy Hour Thread

Maybe some Rudy news after the holiday!

Power of the Purse

I don't even know precisely what this means in practical terms, but when people ask "WHAT CAN THE DEMOCRATS DOOOOOOOOO?!?!?!" the answer is, always, they control the presidency, the House, and the Senate, and at the very least can get some bills through with reconciliation. You know, the ones with ALL THE MONEY. When you control that, there are a lot of things you can do.

I WILL FIGHT FOR YOOOOOOOOOOU

Lots of Democratic politicians say versions of this, but they're usually not quite clear just who or what they are fighting.

Probably Mothra!

Lunch Thread

Grill something.

I can't stand it, I know you planned it

Use the power you have.
As the clock got closer to the midnight deadline, Democratic lawmakers in Texas decided it was time for dramatic action to block passage of a massive overhaul of the state’s election laws. The measure had seemed all but certain to pass, but with a little more than an hour to go before the deadline Democrats staged a walkout, depriving their Republican colleagues of the 100-member quorum needed to pass the measure.

I Am Not Beautiful And Cool Anymore, Burn It All Down

Sadly a common life path among our elites.

Sad and a bit funny when they retired by 70 and couldn't, necessarily, burn it all down.

Monday Morning

I hope all the haters and losers have a great day!

Sunday, May 30, 2021

Sunday Happy Hour

One of the good Mondays tomorrow. Mattress sales!

Not Cowardice

A favorite West Wing brain narrative, though selectively applied, is that doing the Right Thing is hard and doing the Wrong Thing is cowardly and easy.

Vaccine Machine Still Too Slow

The basic story is that the UK had a bit of a head start, had a pretty good vaccination program, ran into supply problems for 4-6 weeks, then got back on track. The US started a bit later, picked up the pace fairly quickly, especially after the last guy left, has more supply than it knows what to do with, and...
The US still leads in % fully dosed, but probably won't anymore in about 10 days. The point is not that it is a race between these two countries, just comparing the records of two countries that, despite mixed records on everything else, did implement top vaccination programs.

(source)

The real problem in the US isn't the overall speed, which is probably fine if not as good as it could be, but the local problems. Only 35% have a first dose in Louisiana.

Lunch Thread

Hope you are enjoying your long weekend!

More Guns, More Guns

It is the guns, mostly, but also the culture.
While gun sales have been climbing for decades — they often spike in election years and after high-profile crimes — Americans have been on an unusual, prolonged buying spree fueled by the coronavirus pandemic, the protests last summer and the fears they both stoked.

In March last year, federal background checks, a rough proxy for purchases, topped one million in a week for the first time since the government began tracking them in 1998. And the buying continued, through the protests in the summer and the election in the fall, until a week this spring broke the record with 1.2 million background checks.

Morning Thread

I hope you survived Saturday night without rockin'.

Saturday, May 29, 2021

Saturday Evening

I got nothin".

Saturday Afternoon

Get your Saturday on.

Happy "Suck On This" Day!

18 years! Time flies.


I think it [the invasion of Iraq] was unquestionably worth doing, Charlie.
...
We needed to go over there, basically, um, and um, uh, take out a very big stick right in the heart of that world and burst that bubble, and there was only one way to do it.
...

What they needed to see was American boys and girls going house to house, from Basra to Baghdad, um and basically saying, "Which part of this sentence don't you understand?"

You don't think, you know, we care about our open society, you think this bubble fantasy, we're just gonna let it grow?

Well Suck. On. This.

Okay.

That Charlie was what this war was about. We could've hit Saudi Arabia, it was part of that bubble. We coulda hit Pakistan. We hit Iraq because we could. That's the real truth.

iPhone Rumors

Related, but once upon a time there were iPhone rumor sites that were filled with absolutely crazy rumors/predictions, like "THE NEXT IPHONE WILL READ YOUR MIND." I'm exaggerating a bit, and most of it was silly, but, again, there was this optimism about the latest technology trends. Big things coming! Now it's (and this isn't on Apple, just the whole industry) just trying to make a big deal out of minor cosmetic or slight functional changes.

Minor functional improvements are good! But no mindreading. Or, specifically, not the kind of optimism which makes people think the mindreading might be coming.

Almost Miss The Dumb TechnoUtopianism

Most of it was dumb and a lot of it was damaging, but there was something at least optimistic in the last decade, when people seemed to believe a new app, or a new invention called "the bus," could change the world. Uber, but for hamburgers. A juicer, but connected to the internet. Whatever it was.

Now it's just surveillance and shitcoins.

Morning Thread

Get your morning on.

Friday, May 28, 2021

In The Beginning

Feature

For decades the stated (not even hidden) policy was never let wages rise again. Progress!

The Film Is A Saddening Bore

I don't know what to make of the flood of titillating 'UFOs are real' stories, but it is interesting that "no one" seems to care much. I think that 20 years ago there was something to the idea that mere knowledge of little green men elsewhere would be a civilization changing event. And now? Meh. 

Who Wants To Bet

(procedural votes relating to the bill do not count as voting on the bill)

Lunch Thread

Friday frankfurters.

What Do Words Even Mean

That fucking newspaper again. An investigation...by another authority... which the DOJ is staying out of, remaining above of the fray, so to speak...

Vote For Us - We Promise To Work With The Very Fine People You Don't Vote For

It's always a bizarre message.
The analysis — which was done by the group Way to Win and was provided to me — suggests large TV-ad expenditures on emphasizing bipartisan outreach do not appear to have paid dividends for House Democrats in the 2020 elections.
People are trained to say, "bipartisan is good," because they've had 40 years of TV news and NPR telling them that, but they basically think it's necessary to get things done, and that what's stopping things from getting done is "partisanship."

So, you know, get things done. Also it's hard to make a compelling case that team D is better if you're running around saying how great team R is.

Jenifer Fernandez Ancona, the vice president of Way to Win, said that, in sum, Democrats in 2020 sent mixed messages: They touted their willingness to work with Republicans, even as Republicans called them socialists and extremists.
Who wants to vote for people who won't even stick up for themselves? Who are these great Republicans you want to work with? The one who just ran an ad saying you love to kill babies?

A lot of people who earn a lot of money running campaigns, and their friends, were quick to blame "DEFUND THE POLICE" and similar for the less than stellar House performance. And, hey, maybe they're right that it didn't help, but that's in the category of "things I, a person with a $5 million campaign budget, cannot control, unlike these ads calling my opponents noble patriots, which I commissioned and ran."

Maybe you don't want to defund the police, but you should run on "defunding" the Republicans.

MISTER MCCONNELL SIR I AM DISAPPOINT

The right response is, "of course these fuckers are blocking the commission because the Republicans tried to overthrow the government and they want to hide this as much as possible. We proposed this as an olive branch to them, and they didn't even take it. See you in the hearings."

Not, OH NO I AM SO SAD.

Thursday, May 27, 2021

Why Do They Do This


I don't know why many Demcocrats keep trying to equate Benghazi with 1/6. The Republicans didn't need the permission of the Democrats to hold hearings. They just held them. The problem with the Benghazi committees was that they were mostly bullshit (my memory is that the Senate issued a real report, and the House just did extended bits of performance art). Is that something to emulate or not? Are all committees the same? Do only Democrats need permission? I don't understand any of this.

Afternoon Thread

Busy busy busy

The Latest Bullshit

I'm busy with stuff today so I don't have time, but a bunch of the usual centrist self-styled wonk technocrat dorks decided that Philly's DA, Krasner, was going to lose his primary, and teed up a bunch of stuff about how this represented a big backlash against progressive justice reform efforts which barely exist in practice. Then Krasner (unsurprisingly) won *big* and they just... went with it anyway.

Now progressive justice reformers, who apparently run everything now, are responsible for a nationwide spike in crime.

Do not deal with bad faith actors as if they are acting in good faith. This applies to Republicans and the centrist commentariat.

More Thread

On a bus. Crazy the stuff you can do now.

Thursday is New Jobless Day

406K new lucky duckies. Still high!

Morning Thread

Get your morning on.

Wednesday, May 26, 2021

Wednesday Evening

Shortage of Rudy news!

The Tyranny Of Cancel Culture

So much for liberal tolerance.
But “Sinclair Jenkins,” HuffPost has now confirmed, is really a pseudonym for Benjamin Welton, a 33-year-old Boston University history PhD candidate who, until this week, taught English, social studies and computer science at Star Academy, an elementary school in Massachusetts. When HuffPost contacted the school for comment, Welton was put on leave, and was fired shortly before this article was published.

For years, he has also worked as a freelance writer for major media outlets, including The Atlantic and Vice, for whom he published articles about esoteric spy and detective novels. He also wrote pieces for the The Daily Caller and The Weekly Standard, which let him make his racist sympathies clear in print.

He was meanwhile using multiple pen names to secretly author fascist screeds online, in some cases advocating violence to establish a whites-only ethnostate.

Afternoon Thread

Get your afternoon on.

Sat On A Fence But It Don't Work

On one side there's a few left wing assholes "yelling" on their very fine blogs and twitter, and on the other side are a bunch of lobbyists and other interests with large dump trucks filled with money.

Can't deal with people getting upset because people are harshing their West Wing mellow by attempting to put mild pressure on the people with power to do what they said they were going to do. The rich men in expensive suits are in the room where it's happening. Constantly.

And Who Is This Message For

"We" are all advanced politics knowers. I don't think telling voters, "it's not THE DEMOCRATS just SOME DEMOCRATS" is a winning message for most people.

I want stuff I think is good to pass because I think it's good, I also know that we're one fairly likely death away from losing the Senate before that can happen, and one or two elections away from losing the whole damn country. B-b-but not OUR fault is probably not the 2022 campaign slogan I'd go with.

America's Worst Pennsylvania State Senator

Doug Mastriano.
But video recently uncovered by amateur online sleuths appears to show that Mastriano — widely seen as a leading Republican contender for Pennsylvania governor in 2022 — stuck around longer and advanced closer to the Capitol building than he has previously acknowledged.

The footage appears to depict Mastriano — wearing a ball cap and a green scarf — and his wife among a crowd passing through breached barricades set up by Capitol Police to keep rioters at bay. A man in the frame is seen dragging the barriers aside and tossing them out of the way.

Lock him up!

Rotating Villains

I remember similar things being said when Democrats had 59 and 60 votes in the Senate. It's not Obama, it's Max Baucus (who has been empowered by Obama)! It's Joe Lieberman! We're hitting the stage of "silly people complaining just Don't Understand How Things Work." And, well, amazingly, how things work is the president and the party leadership have a lot of ways to make their priorities happen. If they are their priorities.

Also, how things work is their lickspittles fan out into the media and attack those who criticize, or try to use what little power they might have to make things happen, as being naive and stupid and counterproductive. Complainers are always doing the wrong thing. If only they would do this, instead of that, but oh well, nothing the people in power can do!

"Focus your anger on Manchin and Sinema" will be followed up with "whoa whoa, they are sensitive flowers, and if you criticize them they might wilt. Don't make them sad and mad!"

Activists Are Always Doing It Wrong And Are Really To Blame is the one constant criticism. It's less ridiculous now than it was in 2009, but I've seen this movie before, and it sucked the first time.

Wednesday Morning

Wednesday again.

Tuesday, May 25, 2021

Lock Him Up

We can have fun pretending it will happen!
NEW YORK — Manhattan's district attorney has convened the grand jury that is expected to decide whether to indict former president Donald Trump, other executives at his company or the business itself should prosecutors present the panel with criminal charges, according to two people familiar with the development.

We Want To Believe

Liberals actually encourage "the liberal media" (and similar about other institutions) narrative, because overall they want to trust that certain bedrock organizations are good and smart, populated as they are with highly educated people from the right schools, and that they are somehow "on our side" because how could they not be?

Bring up Chuck Todd, and a bunch of people get tear up with nostalgia over the "great" Tim Russert. Longtime readers of this very fine blog know that Tim Russert was not, in fact, great, and certainly not "on our side." People want to believe That Fucking Newspaper is on our team, and NPR, also, too. "On our side" doesn't mean Team D, or Team Expand Social Security, but it does at least mean Team Humanity and Team Fairness Team Not Super Racist and Team Maybe We Can All Have Some Nice Things Even If We Don't Quite All Agree On How. And, well, I'm sorry, but...

When They Slow They Stop

There are a lot of reasons for it, all bad, but it's how Dems tend to operate...

Fun With Etymology

I had a bit of a problem doing my exercise of choice, running, last summer, because one of my hamstring muscles was sore for months, along with a bit of mild sciatica, I think. I tried to just "run through it" but it was never that easy or pleasant.

As I was finishing a run yesterday, an easier pain free run, I was musing to myself, "Last summer I was really hamstrung by my hamstri... hey, wait a minute."

Probably everybody knows this, but the obvious connection between "hamstrung" and "hamstring" had never occurred to me. For those who don't know, being hamstrung is the result of hamstringing.

You Had One Job

How is "redacting things" not a skill they learn.

America's Worst Economist

Larry Summers.

Adding, economists like Larry spent decades essentially setting the Fed up to be the sole necessary stewards of the economy, and their latest line is, "AKSHUALLY, the Fed is completely incompetent."

The Man Who Can Work With Republicans

Whatever mostly harmless bullshit helps get you elected, I suppose, but I still wonder somewhat how much Biden believed this. Though that matters less than that it was asserted almost as fact by people whose job it is to know better (political journalists). My point isn't about Biden's campaign message (early on, anyway, things changed quite a bit), it's about the persistent narrative that the primary job of Democrats is to get Republicans to work with them, and that this is both possible and a failure of Democrats if it doesn't happen.

With the trifecta, you don't have to work with Republicans. You do have to work with Manchin and Sinema and a few House Dems who will start causing problems very soon.

Morning Thread

Tuesday and beyond!

Monday, May 24, 2021

Bipartisan

The unstated premise behind the belief (Biden, at some point, if not now, Manchin) that Republicans would sign on to Biden bills when they wouldn't sign on to Obama bills is that they couldn't be seen supporting the black guy.

Whatever the practical reasons for wanting bipartisanship (50+1 senators makes things hard because some of those senators suck!), it's just inane that "we" don't kill dead the idea that bipartisanship is, in general, "good."

Mitch is the one doing the right thing here. The opposition party should oppose.

The NAFTA Superhighway

It isn't quite the "stupid or evil" question, but similarly, how many people really believe nonsense like this and how many just pretend to believe?

There are believers, of course, but also people who just profess to believe in order to remain members in good standing.

If Only They'd Listened To Atrios

And paid me lots of money for the very fine advice that I gave away for free on this very fine blog.
The wizards of Silicon Valley said people would be commuting to work in self-driving cars by now. Instead, there have been court fights, injuries and deaths, and tens of billions of dollars spent on a frustratingly fickle technology that some researchers say is still years from becoming the industry’s next big thing.

Now the pursuit of autonomous cars is undergoing a reset. Companies like Uber and Lyft, worried about blowing through their cash in pursuit of autonomous technology, have tapped out. Only the most deep pocketed outfits like Waymo, which is a subsidiary of Google’s parent company Alphabet, auto industry giants, and a handful of start-ups are managing to stay in the game.

"Wizards."

Actually Old

All the "music Gods" from a certain era are getting up there. I'm mildly fascinated by the difference between how some people were portrayed during my "classic rock listening teen" years (say, 1987-1989), relative to some of their actual contemporaries, and relative to how performers who are of similar advanced ages are portrayed now.

The Traveling Wilburies were presented as a bunch of dinosuars+Tom Petty, but Dylan was "only" 48 then. Plenty of "newer" bands with 50ish performers who might not be the favorites of The Kids Today, but they aren't really portrayed as dinosaurs, either. Natalie Maines is 46. Billie Joe Armstrong is 49. Matt Berninger is 50. Carrie Brownstein is 46. Thom Yorke is 52.

On the other end, Robert Plant is 72. Sammy Hagar is 73. Tina Turner is 81. Paul McCartney is 78. Pete Townsend is 76. Grace Slick is 81. Ray Davies is 76.

Lunch Thread

Time to eat.

First Question

What should their first question be?
Steven Kim, director of operations for Zenshin at the South Point and Island Sushi &Grill on Eastern Avenue, said he, like Meyer, still is seeing people who can make more from enhanced unemployment benefits than he can pay them.

“ ‘How much do you pay?’ that’s one of the first questions out of their mouth,” he said. “When they opened the economy, they should have decreased the amount of unemployment.”

The obvious story is that every restaurant in the country is hiring at once in the (hopefully) end stage of a 14 months and counting pandemic. But, sure, it's unemployment benefits.

Maybe It's Going To Be Ok

7-day average of new cases down to a level not seen since mid-June (after the "New York" wave, as the 2nd wave was picking up).

Of Course I Would Say That

I know that a "ban cars" guy being against highway expansions is hardly surprising, but really they're absurdly expensive and destructive and have no actual value in most cases, and certainly not anywhere an established urban area.

For all the ambition of President Biden’s infrastructure proposal — massive spending boosts on trains and buses and a push to get Americans into electric cars — its priority for the nation’s road network is more basic: Fix them.
Not going to finally learn this until Chuck Schumer's invisible friends are dead (not putting anything on Schumer, just the mythical "people from Long Island" have ruled these issues forever).

It's one thing to fix a bottleneck here and there, but...

Morning Thread

The week begins!

Sunday, May 23, 2021

Sunday Happy Hour

Even on Sundays.

When You're A Star, They Let You Do It. You Can Do Anything.

True in journalism as everywhere. Rules are meant for the little people, not David Brooks or Chris Cuomo or Fareed Zakaria. Though I find it a bit mysterious in journalism, as I don't think the "stars" generally really do earn their paychecks, in the sense of bringing in the ratings (on TV) justifying their 7 figure salaries.

Which is to say, it isn't really mysterious, it just isn't always about money, or even mostly about money, which is what too many people annoyingly claim any time you bring up anything having to do with (especially) TV journalism. It's just ratings they say, wisely. No need to say anything else!

Nah. It's about the elite protecting their own, defining the club membership. The club's perks include "no consequences."

Morning Thread

Prosperity Gospel day.

Saturday, May 22, 2021

Saturday Happy Hour

Hope Matt Gaetz is enjoying his weekend.

Slipped On The Santorum

Miracles do happen.
CNN has terminated its contract with senior political commentator Rick Santorum after racist, inaccurate remarks he made about Native Americans, HuffPost has learned.

America's Worst News Agency

The Associated Press.

Lunch Thread

Even very fine bloggers get a weekend sometimes. It's the law.

Still Going

Just found out someone I know (not someone I know well, not a friend, just someone I'm aware of) is in the hospital for Covid. No idea if he was vaccinated or not.

Knowing what I do know about this person, I'd guess if he wasn't vaccinated, it wasn't because he was a MAGA anti-vax nutter, but more the numerous small reasons why people don't manage to get around to it, including fear of bills which aren't supposed to happen but somehow still do. With eligibility wide open and the increased availability of walk in clinics (everything varies by location, availability is still better some places than others), that's less of a reason, but "we" are at the "drive the ice cream truck around and knock on doors" stage.

Reasonable to be optimistic in the "big picture" sense. Cases are declining and a lot of people have been vaccinated. But despite over a year of telling people otherwise, young adults, teens, and children do get Covid, and even if fairly asymptomatic, they can still get long Covid.

Morning Thread

Saturday, Saturday.

Friday, May 21, 2021

PizzaGaetz

Have a nice weekend, Matt.
Washington (CNN)Federal authorities investigating alleged sex trafficking by GOP Rep. Matt Gaetz have secured the cooperation of the congressman's ex-girlfriend, according to people familiar with the matter.

The woman, a former Capitol Hill staffer, is seen as a critical witness, as she has been linked to Gaetz as far back as the summer of 2017, a period of time that has emerged as a key window of scrutiny for investigators. She can also help investigators understand the relevance of hundreds of transactions they have obtained records of, including those involving alleged payments for sex, the sources said.

Friday Happy Hour

Another week done.

I Am So Tired Of Arguing With You People

I admit sometimes I just can't quite get myself to argue, yet again, about some dumb thing that "we" definitely resolved in 2004. Of course nothing is ever resolved like that, but resolved in the sense that everything that could possibly be said about it was said, but then, like the cicadas, here it is again...

PizzaGaetz

Just to keep us entertained.
Gaetz associate Joel Greenberg was already under investigation when he had a private exchange with his one-time sports radio co-host, “Big Joe” Ellicott. In that exchange, conducted over the encrypted messaging app Signal and obtained by The Daily Beast, Ellicott expressed fear that others in their group of friends faced legal jeopardy for having sex with a 17-year-old girl.

Ellicott wrote that a mutual friend, a woman who figures prominently in Greenberg‘s Venmo transactions, “knew [the minor] was underage the whole time, had sex with her, and they both went [to] see other guys.”

Go Go Go

Faster, Democrats!

Lunch Thread

Real life interfering! Annoying real life.

Spying On The Pentagon

This is "hilarious" because Starr is just a Pentagon spokesperson who for some reason is paid by CNN.
WASHINGTON — The Justice Department under the Trump administration targeted the phone and email records of a prominent CNN journalist who covers the Pentagon as part of an investigation into the apparent disclosure of classified information, the network revealed on Thursday.

...

Federal prosecutors secretly obtained the records, which covered a two-month period beginning in June 2017. In a letter to CNN, prosecutors acknowledged they not only sought records for Barbara Starr’s work and personal email accounts, but also phone records for her offices at the Pentagon and at home, as well as for her cellphones.

Your Mission, If You Choose to Accept It

Obvious point, but if you choose the responsibility of being an important elected official, something no one has forced on you, then you have an oligation to take this very big responsibility seriously.

Something I find incredibly grating is when "the voters" or random activists are blamed. It's your job to get them on board, and once in power, your job to keep them on board.

People with power have power. Most people don't have much power. If you need them on board, find a way to do it. Expecting the powerless to shut up about their concerns even as we know rich assholes have seats at the table constantly, and them blaming them when things don't go right, is childish and absurd.

Politicians (yes, The Democrats) do unpopular things all the time, and certainly fail to do obviously popular things [this is a weed post]. They have most of the power and agency. There are plenty of things they can control, even as they love to fault the people they can't.

Thursday, May 20, 2021

Happy Hour Thread

Thursday really is the day happy hour was invented for.

Time For Another Blogger Ethics Panel

This is so off the charts bad that you can imagine all the things that go on that aren't off the charts.
CNN anchor Chris Cuomo advised his brother, New York Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo, and senior members of the governor’s staff on how to respond to sexual harassment allegations made earlier this year by women who had worked with the governor, according to four people familiar with the discussions.

...

Cuomo, one of the network’s top stars, joined a series of conference calls that included the Democratic governor’s top aide, his communications team, lawyers and a number of outside advisers, according to the people familiar with the conversations, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe the private sessions.

CNN says it's cool because lol nothing matters.

PizzaGates

The keeping it civil and private part didn't age well.
A “combo of things” led Bill and Melinda Gates to end their marriage of 27 years, but they are not likely to reveal their differences in divorce court or in the court of public opinion.

...

Their reasons for uniting behind the foundation aren’t entirely altruistic, a source close to the couple told People magazine. They have one specific aspiration in mind: the Nobel Prize.

“They were really interested in trying to win a Nobel Prize,” the source says. “So one thing that was part of this is, if it gets worse, then it ends that. It seems as if that was on the agenda, and that’s for both of them.”

But wow rich people is weird.
But the Microsoft mogul may have been angling for another perk by networking with Epstein: Gates hoped the well-connected pervert could help him secure the Nobel Peace Prize, one former Gates Foundation employee told The Daily Beast.

This person said members of the foundation’s communications team were alerted to Gates’ relationship with Epstein and were told it “was a maneuver to try to get himself a Nobel Peace Prize.” They said the tech mogul had even kept some employees on call on prize day in years past just in case he was awarded the distinction.

“We were aware of things that were potential reputational risks for the foundation and the co-chairs, Bill and Melinda,” said the former employee. “Even back then, people knew this guy wasn’t squeaky clean,” the person said, referring to Epstein.

They knew he wasn't "squeaky" clean because he had already been convicted of "procuring a child for prostitution!"

People like to pass around all those photos of Epstein with various VIPs, but I think it's missed that quite often these photos were taken post-conviction!

Blue Trump

Lock him up.
Federal prosecutors have been looking into whether Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo’s administration granted special access to rapid coronavirus test results for the governor’s family and other influential people, according to two people with knowledge of the discussions.

Lunch Thread

Thai Thursday.

If Only

I prefer "rounding up the white people" Lori Lightfoot to the actual one.

Gaming Things Out

Also, too, any strategy that depends on some Republicans "doing the right thing" should have a plan B for when they, with 99% chance, don't.

Thursday Is New Jobless Day

444K new lucky duckies. Still high!

Morning Thread

The corn is as high as an elephant's eye.

Wednesday, May 19, 2021

Improper Inference

An update on this:

(Starmer is the Labour leader, Chapman, er, the Baroness Chapman of Darlington, is his senior aide)

Lunch Thread

Busy with random annoying things!

Regular Reminder

An plan that involves even a small number of elected Republicans "doing the right thing" is almost certainly going to fail.

Krasner Victory

I'm not surprised that Larry Krasner - our actual progressive DA - won his contested primary easily, but it got *a lot* of media attention suggesting that it was a real race.
Philadelphia District Attorney Larry Krasner easily defeated Democratic primary challenger Carlos Vega on Tuesday, taking a giant step toward winning a second term after campaigning on his record of criminal justice reform.

The Associated Press projected Krasner as the winner over Vega late Tuesday night. With 22% of the projected votes counted, Krasner held a wide advantage, 65% to 35%. In a city where Democrats outnumber Republicans seven to one, Krasner is now very likely to win November’s general election. He won the 2017 general election with 75% of the vote.

Cops hate him, love to blame him because they don't do their jobs, but a few thousand cop families switching their voter registration to vote against him wasn't going to do it.

Would like an honest explanation from journalists why there was so much "KRASNER ON THE DEFENSIVE" coverage when this was the extremely likely outcome.

A lot of this was white journalists pretending that people in black communities were going to come out against Krasner because gun violence (somehow Krasner's fault and not the responsibility of the shitty cops) impacts them, but, lol, no, the white racists in NE Philly and deep South Philly were the ones who voted for his opponent.

Morning Thread

Disqus claims to have fixed the issue, thanks to Jeffraham/Covey explaining to them what it was. Please tell me if they are wrong!

Tuesday, May 18, 2021

Happy Hour Thread

I buy into the basic notion "most people are decent enough, sorta," but most is not all! Some are very bad!

I Won't Just Give Up And Let Go

The Vast [International] Right Wing Conspiracy

And of course Louis Freeh makes an appearance.
It’s not just Ukraine. Justice Department investigators have asked questions about Rudy Giuliani’s work connected to Romania, according to two people familiar with the probe into former President Donald Trump’s personal lawyer.

...

What Giuliani didn’t mention in the letter was that he wrote it on behalf of the Freeh Group, a consulting firm started by former FBI director Louis Freeh, which paid the former mayor a retainer to work on the Romania project. In 2018, Giuliani declined to reveal the amount, and his letter is the only Romania-related work he did that is known to the public. Gabriel “Puiu” Popoviciu, a Romanian property mogul who was sentenced to seven years in prison in a real estate fraud case, had hired Freeh in 2016 to review the evidence against him. The Freeh Group found “numerous factual and legal deficiencies” in the legal case that led to his conviction. A spokesperson for the Romanian president told POLITICO that Iohannis never replied to the letter.

Lunch Thread

Get your lunch on.

Madness

I know this playdoh fascist is doing his best to get applause for the funny jokes he overheard on Fox, but this general issue is just pathetic. And it wasn't just Trumpkins. All the glibertarian nerds like Nate Silver have been Getting Very Mad about people wearing masks, and it all probably helped lead to the CDC decision.

Outdoor masking was probably never had more than an marginal overall benefit, though of course individuals have their own idiosyncratic risk concerns, but, also, who gives a shit? Most younger people aren't vaccinated yet, and what's the harm.

The Law Protects But Does Not Bind

I'm not sure how much worse it is than it used to be, but it *seems* that the possibility that anyone over and above a certain socioeconomic status will ever face legal consequences for anything, up to and including child rape or worse, has been declining over the past few decades.

Prove me wrong!

Morning Errands

Some things to do. All on you for a bit.

Monday, May 17, 2021

America's Most Corrupt Attorney General

Bill Barr. Made us all miss that man of virtue, John Ashcroft.

Afternoon Thread

Get your afternoon on.

Poor America's Mayor

I'm sure this is because Rudy looked like an idiot on TV doing the idiotic things Trump had him do because Trump thought he would not look like an idiot on TV doing the things Trump told him to do.
In the weeks since the feds raided Rudy Giuliani’s apartment and office in late April, close allies have tried to ferry a slew of emergency requests to former President Donald Trump and his advisers.

But according to three people familiar with the matter, Trump, as well as several of his legal advisers and longtime confidants, have been hesitant about swooping in to help the embattled Giuliani, who for years worked as Trump’s personal lawyer, a political adviser, and attack dog. Giuliani also served as a major player in the Trump-Ukraine scandal and as a key driver in the former president’s efforts to nullify Joe Biden’s clear victory in the 2020 election.

I am no Bob Loblaw, but what is being asked of Trump seems fairly trivial from the perspective of actually being of any cost to Trump, so he's just being petty. I had no idea!
Among Giuliani allies’ pleas, the three sources said, have been for Trump to issue a strong verbal or written statement saying Giuliani’s work during the Trump-Ukraine saga was done on behalf of then-President Trump—and therefore not part of an illegal foreign lobbying effort. In other words, Trump’s corroboration would be more than good public relations for Giuliani, it would back up a key pillar of Giuliani’s legal argument that he wasn’t lobbying and is innocent of the allegations.

Other asks have included having the ex-president sign on to a legal motion to have federal investigators throw out any seized communications that Giuliani and his lawyers argue are covered by attorney-client privilege. Further, there have been repeated requests that Trump and his team financially aid Giuliani’s ballooning legal defense and help cover the mounting, sizable expenses.

Aside from the "give me money" part. Lol of course not.

Long Covid

Brian Beutler, who is on my Good People list, writes about his experiences.

PizzaGaetz

More:
Appearing in court Monday, Joel Greenberg, a former tax collector for Seminole County, Fla., repeatedly said, “I do” in response to questions from the judge, affirming what he had already admitted in a written plea agreement made public last week. His plea and deal to cooperate is a potentially ominous sign for Gaetz, as it signals prosecutors have lined up a critical witness as they continue to investigate the congressman.

Masking

I'm pretty annoyed at the CDC for jumping the gun and badly messaging their "TAKE OFF YOUR MASKS EVERYONE [who has been vaccinated, scout's honor]" policy. The usual dipshits - and I don't mean the Trumpkins - have been pushing this, and now they have their wish. Case rates are still very high. Vaccination policy and availability hasn't been even everywhere, but plenty of even the most "diligent" people (ones who were desperate to be first in line), are just hitting full immunity around now (two doses plus a couple of weeks).

Would have been very easy to say, "Yes we think people who have been vaccinated are safe, but in shops and other places where the general public is present, for a variety of reasons we would like people to continue to wear masks for a few more weeks."

PizzaGates

I asked previously why the Gates divorce dirt was leaking. It was somewhat of a rhetorical question, as the answer was obviously, "because Melinda's people are leaking it." The real question, then, was "why are they leaking it?"

And the answer is... she's fucking pissed off.

Three somewhat different stories in the Post, WSJ, and NYT, and the kicker in the Daily Beast.

The billionaire met Epstein dozens of times starting in 2011 and continuing through to 2014 mostly at the financier’s Manhattan home—a substantially higher number than has been previously reported. Their conversations took place years before Bill and Melinda Gates announced this month that they were splitting up.chelor sex-offender Jeffrey Epstein gave Bill Gates advice on ending his marriage with Melinda after the Microsoft co-founder complained about her during a series of meetings at the money manager’s mansion, according to two people familiar with the situation.

Gates used the gatherings at Epstein’s $77 million New York townhouse as an escape from what he told Epstein was a “toxic” marriage, a topic both men found humorous, a person who attended the meetings told The Daily Beast.

The billionaire met Epstein dozens of times starting in 2011 and continuing through to 2014 mostly at the financier’s Manhattan home—a substantially higher number than has been previously reported. Their conversations took place years before Bill and Melinda Gates announced this month that they were splitting up.

That's a PR push!

I don't really care about this as celebrity gossip, but as with any rich white guys who dabble in big philanthropy and as "public intellectuals," Bill was (and is) granted so much authority every time he opened his mouth.

Sunday, May 16, 2021

Space Commanders

Perhaps not the best of the bunch.

Cornered Rats

People who will do bad things when they aren't under threat won't suddenly see the light and do the right thing when the law is closing in.

Lunch Thread

Lazy Sunday. Sadly not many indictments on the weekend.

Underground Railroad

I'm looking forward to this series even though I didn't really like the book. There's something about Whitehead's writing that doesn't fit with me (I finished the Underground Railroad, couldn't get through a couple of others I tried). Certain authors are like that, and I recognize that it's me, not them, in that I can certainly see why others appreciate them.

Sunday Morning

Insert some banal point or pithy phrase here.

Saturday, May 15, 2021

Saturday Evening

A moment of quiet contemplation.

Local Boy Done Bad

Shame.
A week before the deadly Jan. 6 Capitol riot, top leaders of the Proud Boys convened a video chat to discuss the organization’s plans for Washington that day. And Zach Rehl, president of the group’s Philadelphia chapter, took a leading role in guiding that conversation, federal prosecutors now say.

Afternoon Thread

Some lies are meant to deceive, and some are just a way of saying, "fuck you, I'm lying, we both know it, and there's nothing you can do about it."

America's Worst Ex-Supreme Court Justices

That guy.

Everybody Gets Old

A weird problem I have is that people I only (or mostly) "know" online become stuck in time, in that they remain the same age (in my brain) as they were when I first became aware of them.

Zuckerberg isn't really a good example of this, as I don't know him, but the dude is getting old, too.

More generally, there are lots of really young people I know from Ye Olden Days of Blog who are over 40 now. It's funny!

And, similarly, some "old" people who are now... actually old.

What About The Pedophile Dungeon In The Basement Of The Pizza Place

Journalists usually stop short of asking that kind of question, but much of the stuff funneled in from the Fox Cinematic Universe is equally absurd. Like asking about Dr. Seuss being cancelled. That sort of thing.

It isn't just mainstreaming right wing "concerns," it's embedding dubious (at best) assumptions and "facts" into the discourse.

Morning Thread

I get up at 6 and go to work at 9.

Blogger had a problem last night, unrelated to the disqus problem, which threw up a scary red security screen for people. Supposedly fixed.

Had more reports that fixing/switching the DNS has solved the problem for people. Use your ISP's default, or if that is the problem, try switching it to one of the public ones (google, opendns, cloudflare). Here's some help for windows.

I managed to get a response from disqus which was a nonresponse (EVERYTHING IS FINE). Anyway pretty sure what happened is they made some switch at their end which didn't get propagated to all the DNS servers correctly. All this is a bit above my pay grade.

Friday, May 14, 2021

Happy Hour

No Friday Rudy news?

Pizzagaetz

Have a good weekend, Matt.
A former confidant of Representative Matt Gaetz, Republican of Florida, admitted in court papers on Friday to an array of federal crimes — including sex trafficking of a minor — and agreed to cooperate with the Justice Department’s investigations, handing prosecutors a potential key witness as they decide whether to charge Mr. Gaetz.

Joel Greenberg, who was a tax collector in the Orlando area until he was indicted last year, did not implicate Mr. Gaetz by name in papers filed by prosecutors in Federal District Court in Orlando.

But Mr. Greenberg admitted that he and unidentified others had paid a 17-year-old girl for sex and that he had provided her with drugs. He admitted that he “introduced the minor to other adult men, who engaged in commercial sex acts” with her, according to the documents, and that he was sometimes present. The others were not named.

Afternoon Thread

Having some Windows hell.

Bill Gates has a lot to answer for.

You Know What To Do, Mr. President, Sir!!!

MINT THE TRILLION DOLLAR COIN!!!
Senate Republicans dramatically changed their party rules to take a hard line on the debt limit in the coming months. Democrats don't care.

In fact, the Democratic majority says it has no intention of negotiating with Republicans bent on slashing spending as a condition for avoiding default after the July 31 deadline. Democrats say they won't haggle with the minority party over the faith and credit of the United States, citing lessons from the presidency of Barack Obama.

Learned a lot from Obama.

Fuck Trump

Will never understand how they lined up behind that guy.

Scout's Honor

That it is (probably and hopefully) quite safe for all involved for people who have been vaccinated to remain unmasked in all situations does not mean it makes any sense to remove the suggestion that people remain masked in public indoor situations.

I don't know where exactly the failure is, but the perceived inability to explain something even slightly complicated has led to a lot of bad decisions.

This one should be:"Yes if you are vaccinated you aren't at risk or a risk to others, HOWEVER, [this is the really tricky bit], because, for example, it is impossible for store workers to determine who is and isn't vaccinated, for their safety and peace of mind we would like people to continue masking in these types of situations."

Morning Thread

Freaky Friday.

Thursday, May 13, 2021

These People Ain't Right

So much lead consumption.
A former staffer is suing U.S. Rep. Doug Lamborn (R-Colo.), accusing the congressman of taking a “reckless” approach to COVID-19, exposing his staff and himself to the virus.

The suit alleges the congressman flouted U.S. House safety rules, ignored warnings about unsafe conditions, and required staff to provide personal favors and tasks for the congressman’s family.

...

The lawsuit also said the congressman allowed his son to live in a storage space in the basement of the Capitol for weeks when his son was relocating to Washington.

SERENITY NOW

People on the internet are pissing me off today.

Major Major

Pizzagaetz

Less fun than Rudy news, but...
A Florida politician who is central to the investigation into Rep. Matt Gaetz for possible sex trafficking of a minor signaled Thursday that he will plead guilty in his own federal case, a court entry shows, a troubling development for the congressman as it suggests prosecutors have secured a potentially important witness against him.

Serviced By Sean Hannity

I know Fox news viewers are old, but even the olds have kids and grandkids, some of whom they might not even hate, who probably had a bit of a rough year which was smoothed a bit by the benficent rule of President Trump and then President Biden.

Yes, I know, they separate the deserving from the undeserving in their minds, but that failgrandson probably is having a hard time finding decent work at the moment.

Lunch Thread

Get your lunch on.

Where's Vicky?

A shortage of Rudy news, but even less news about Victoria Toensing. I don't think she's going to go to jail (various ways to interpret that).

Politicians - We Just Want To Be Liked

So said one now former senator to me, once. I don't think it's universally true that it's a defining trait of politicians, but politics is one appealing option for people whose open mic or bass-player-in-a-yacht-rock-band pathway fizzled. It attracts some people who have a rather large need for some sort of personal adulation.

To some extent: politicians, they're just like us. Who do they want to be liked by? The people they spend time with. Who do they spend time with? Mostly not the median constituent.

Sometimes you hear about politicians who received, say, FORTY THOUSAND DOLLARS in campaign money from some industry, offered up as a corrupt explanation for votes they take. I'm not dismissing that entirely, but I also suspect it's basic peer pressure a lot of the time.

Wanna be the cool kid at the parties you go to.

Thursday Is New Jobless Day

473K new lucky duckies. Still very high! More than twice a typical non-recession week.

Morning Thread

Apologies for disqus. As far as I can tell it's an ISP/DNS issue. These things can right themselves over time, or you can try to force change. Can try switching to a different DNS (if google's DNS wasn't the problem, try switching to it). Also try flushing your DNS cache before/after switching your DNS. (turn it off and on again, restart your browser, usual stuff, too).

Wednesday, May 12, 2021

Happy Hour Thread

Get happy. (a little early today)

Disqus Solution

Reader j writes in to say that the disqus problem (for him) can be solved changing the DNS server from google (8.8.8.8), which a lot of people manually set it to, to the default ISP server.

I couldn't replicate the problem by switching mine to google's, but give it a try!

Every Man For Himself

Some things are just collective action problems, and they can't be solved by appealing to personal responsibility or yelling at people for their "bad behavior." I don't fault people for buying extra rolls of toilet paper if they hear "toilet paper shortage" on the news, but given the way our supply system works, for many things it doesn't take much of temporary demand boost to empty the shelves (or tanks).

Plenty of ways to sensibly ration things temporarily. Maybe they aren't entirely easy to implement quickly, but it barely occurs to anyone to try.

GAS PANIC

I know it's serious, but it's hard not laugh a bit at problems with relatively simple solutions* that we are just unwilling to implement.

*stop people from panic buying.

Disqus

Reports of it being out intermittently for people still. My big suggestion is that if you are on twitter, tweet your problem @disqus and @disqussupport.

It isn't that I'm asking you to fix my problem for me, it's that if they respond they'll want you to answer specific questions about your setup that I can't answer since I can't duplicate the problem myself.

Otherwise check if it's an ISP problem (Try on your phone using cell data, not wifi).

Influential

Think I'm more influential than these people.
More than 100 influential Republicans plan to release a call for reforms within the GOP alongside a threat to form a new party if change isn't forthcoming, a person familiar with the effort said.
Feeling so influenced by all the influencers, maybe it's their instagram selfies.
The move was first reported by Reuters, which cited some of the people involved: former New Jersey Gov. Christine Todd Whitman, the former administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency; former Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Ridge, the first secretary of homeland security; former Transportation Secretary Mary Peters; and former GOP Reps. Charlie Dent of Pennsylvania, Barbara Comstock of Virginia, Reid Ribble of Wisconsin and Mickey Edwards of Oklahoma. Evan McMullin, a former CIA agent who ran for president as an independent in 2016, is also involved.
Tom Ridge and Whitman!

Influential enough to get journalists to call them "influential," I guess.

Sure Why Not

I admit the writers have surprised with this new "gas shortage" plotline.

Random Observation

Since newspapers were entirely black and white until much later than I think people remember, a lot (not all of course) of "historic pictures from 1988" (and similar) that get passed around are in black and white. Black and white photos definitely impact our view of Ye Olden Times in lots of ways, perhaps the simplest being that they seem of another time entirely somehow.

Morning Thread

Rise and shine.

Tuesday, May 11, 2021

Thoughts and Prayers

Difficult times for the NRA.
New York (CNN)A federal judge has dismissed the National Rifle Association's petition for bankruptcy, saying it was filed in "bad faith" in order to avoid litigation by the New York Attorney General's Office, which has sued to dissolve the NRA for allegedly misusing charitable funds.

The decision from Judge Harlin Hale came after a month-long trial in which NRA attorneys and officials argued that their bankruptcy case should move forward in Texas. New York Attorney General Letitia James' office intervened in the case and asked to dismiss the petition, saying the NRA's decision to file for bankruptcy in Texas and ask to be reincorporated there was a way to "remove the NRA from regulatory oversight."

Student of Trump

Pretty hard to get busted for anything like that these days.
A judge slammed the founder of Students for Trump as a “cold blooded fraudster” before sentencing him to 13 months in prison for posing as a lawyer.

John Lambert, 25, pretended to be Eric Pope, of the Manhattan-based firm Pope & Dunn. He falsely claimed to be a graduate of NYU Law School with a finance degree from University of Pennsylvania and 15 years of experience in corporate and patent law.

The baby-faced scammer from Tennessee admitted to running the racket from 2016 to 2018, which targeted people who had little or no experience seeking legal advice. Victims sought Lambert’s help through the freelancing website Upwork. He earned at least $46,654 through the legal advice he was totally unqualified to give.

Not even much of a haul.

Kick Their Ass And Take Their Gas

Might have to!
The timing estimates point to the challenges that lie ahead for shippers on Colonial’s system -- including the nation’s largest oil companies -- to replenish markets from Louisiana to Virginia and the New York and New Jersey area with fuel after a cyberattack on Friday shuttered operations. Gas stations have already run dry as motorists rush to fill tanks, with one Washington, D.C.-area fuel distributor warning that “catastrophic” shortages are looming. Without the Colonial system, many cities and airports are forced to seek alternative supplies.

Disq Sux

A couple people have written to say Disqus is broken, but it obviously isn't broken for everyone. So, don't know! Will see if I can figure it out...

Afternoon Thread

I got nothin'. Need some Rudy news.

Refusing President Trump's Wonderful Vaccine That He Invented Himself To Own The Libs

As much as I've been fretting about the declining vaccine numbers (reversing, maybe, now), I actually think true vax refusers are noisy and relatively few. Sure maybe there's enough hesitancy among Trumpkins that you'll have to offer them a free beer, or something, but I suspect the number of hardcore refusers is small and dwindling.

Petulant enough to not make the effort, but show up with vaccines in the ice cream truck, and free ice cream, and they'll grudgingly submit.

Over/Under On A "Rahm Doing A Racism" Incident?

6 months?
Joe Biden has picked former Chicago mayor Rahm Emanuel to be his ambassador to Japan.
6 days, probably

Cough Bullshit Cough

Raising taxes on rich people is popular. This has nothing to do with getting re-elected, at least not as people interpret it. Voters love it. The people who fund the candidates and their opposition don't.

Morning Thread

I sense a disturbance in The Discourse.

Monday, May 10, 2021

Vaccinate The World

"We" shouldn't have to explain why to anyone.
World Health Organization official said Monday it is reclassifying the highly contagious triple-mutant Covid variant spreading in India as a “variant of concern,” indicating that it’s become a global health threat.

Afternoon Thread

Get your afternoon on.

Over

The Discourse seems to have lost track of the fact that there are 40,000 new cases and 650 deaths every day.

Sure "we" get accustomed to things as being the new normal, but this is just head in the sand stuff.

Yes the trends are good! But...

Cancel Culture

Rich people facing any consequences for anything at all.

Good Job, Mr. Biden, Sir!!!

All American patriots love you for this stuff!
The Biden administration said Monday it would provide protections against discrimination in health care based on gender identity and sexual orientation, reversing a policy of its predecessors that had been a priority for social conservatives and had infuriated civil liberties advocates.
On the side of people who don't hate America and Americans!

The Very Popular Joe Biden

Press never hesitated to label Obummer as "unpopular," so they should be equally willing to call Sleepy Joe, "popular."
In the fourth month of his presidency, Biden’s overall approval rating sits at 63%. When it comes to the new Democratic president’s handling of the pandemic, 71% of Americans approve, including 47% of Republicans.

We're In A Guild Not A Union

#Notalljournalists, of course, but after decades of employment in their industry getting destroyed, and associated impact on the career paths of most of those that remain, the willingness of journalists run with "what if minimum wage workers have it TOO GOOD?" stories is a bit shocking and doesn't fill me with too much sympathy for this vital function.

Morning Thread

A new week, so many possibilities.

Sunday, May 09, 2021

Sunday Evening

Tomorrow is...

Does Seem A Bit Worrying

Though why it's being leaked to the press now...
The split between Bill and Melinda Gates, announced last week, has been in the works for a long time.

Ms. Gates consulted with divorce lawyers roughly two years before she filed for divorce from Mr. Gates, saying their marriage was “irretrievably broken,” according to people familiar with the matter and documents reviewed by The Wall Street Journal.

...

The couple hasn’t said what prompted the split. One source of concern for Ms. Gates was her husband’s dealings with convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, according to the people and a former employee of their charity, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Ms. Gates’s concerns about the relationship dated as far back as 2013, the former employee said.

Lunch Thread

Eat something.

Lazy Sunday

Trying to figure out how to succintly explain what a shitshow the Labour party is at the moment, and struggling, but I'll just leave you with this quickly deleted tweet by a UK journalist and let you solve the mysteries yourselves.

Morning Thread

 The 7th day.

Saturday, May 08, 2021

Afternoon Thread

Doing afternoon stuff.

Blue Trump

Nobody spends more time in the subway at 1AM than Andrew Cuomo.

Resign Blue Trump

It's obvious that he did, only question is whether he was smart enough to do it with sufficiently coded language.
ALBANY, N.Y.—The state attorney general’s office has expanded its investigation of sexual-harassment allegations against Gov. Andrew Cuomo to look at whether one of his top advisers linked access to Covid-19 vaccines to support for the governor, according to people familiar with the matter.

Morning Thread

Vaccine machine still slowing.

Friday, May 07, 2021

Friday Happy Hour

One more week over.

Shocked Face

A few people sent this to me and, well, yah, I know.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk has been overstating the capabilities of the company’s advanced driver assist system, the company’s director of Autopilot software told the California Department of Motor Vehicles. The comments came from a memo released by legal transparency group PlainSite, which obtained the documents from a public records request.

It was the latest revelation about the widening gap between what Musk says publicly about Autopilot and what Autopilot can actually do. And it coincides with Tesla coming under increased scrutiny after a Tesla vehicle without anyone in the driver’s seat crashed in Texas, killing two men.

Precisely Right, Mr. President, Sir!!!

Still impressed everyone ran with "a good a bad jobs report is proof there is a LABOR SHORTAGE [whatever that means]."

The Story Of The Day

"Everyone" expected a big jobs number today, everyone was all set for their "ZOMG LABOR SHORTAGE CANCEL THE UI" pitches, and then it was a small jobs number and they...ran with it anyway. Journalist surplus. That's the story.

Rudy

No new news, really, but I do love that his plan is "get noted philanthropist and all around generous guy Donald Trump to pay his legal bills."
One of the most vocal is Giuliani's son Andrew, who worked in the Trump White House and told CNN,"The nut may crack in the next 36 hours." He called on Trump to "take the lead on this one," adding: "He can be the hero."

"Once President Trump actually understands that his lead counsel was not indemnified, he's going to resolve this very quickly," Andrew Giuliani said on Wednesday.

Andrew Giuliani said his father was reimbursed for travel-related expenses incurred after the 2020 election, when he visited Arizona and other states to argue election fraud lawsuits in court. He said his father has not, however, been paid for legal services.

Also everyone is casually like "yes, everyone knows things that can put Donald in jail, so perhaps he needs to make sure that doesn't happen" and it's just left hanging there.

Jerbs

+266K, 6.1% unemployment. I'm lazy so I'll wait for someone else to make a pretty graph, but that's a level of net job creation which implies that, if it continued at that rate, we'd return to pre-Covid trend employment levels in...well, never (not really, but a long time).

Bad number! It's a "moderate growth in normal times" not "recovery growth."

All the ghouls will be out blaming expanded UI, even though the labor force is growing faster than the number of jobs.

Morning Thread

It's morning in America!

Thursday, May 06, 2021

Trouble Down At The Hipster Coffee Shop

Very sad.
New York State Attorney General Letitia James moved Thursday to slap a pair of pro-Trump trolls with massive fines for a voter suppression scheme targeting Black people in New York and elsewhere.

Jacob Wohl and Jack Burkman were already in deep legal trouble for the robocalls during the 2020 election that reached around 5,500 New Yorkers. If Manhattan Federal Judge Victor Marrero allows James’s office to join an ongoing suit over the scheme, she’ll seek $500 per violation of the state’s civil rights law. That means Wohl and Burkman could face a bill of $2.5 million.

Liz Cheney

Just mad The Fool stole her family's castle.

Afternoon Thread

Busy with some things.

Entourage

Hopefully his personal groomer is still employed, for the sake of the taint team.
Rudy Giuliani, the former personal lawyer for ex-president Donald Trump, has reduced the size of his personal entourage, according to three people familiar with the matter.

Giuliani laid off several staffers and independent contractors in the last few weeks, according to one of the people, who said the ousted employees had been told that the former New York mayor was seeking to cut costs.

Cyber Ninjas

Mostly been ignoring this, but for those who can't get enough of the freak show...

Jerbs

As I always did during the Great Recession, I'm hoping for bad jobs data tomorrow, which is not the same as hoping for a bad reality.

The reality is obviously still bad, but any "green shoots" will convince every ghoul that Americans have it too easy now and inflation is about to destroy Miami.

Thursday Is New Jobless Day

498K new lucky duckies. Still very high!

Monthly jobs report tomorrow.

Morning Thread

The best morning.

Wednesday, May 05, 2021

Playing A Role

I don't know what's going on precisely, but several times we've had "uh oh Biden's going to do the wrong thing" trial balloons, then people yell (my blog is very loud and heard of course), and then they do the right thing. Or at least announce they're going to.

Many people don't like the pessimism. I get that. But something to realize is that when "maybe they're going to do the wrong thing" is leaked to the press, it's likely because someone inside wants them to do the right thing and is trying to get very important people like me to yell about it. Because other people inside don't want to do the right thing.

Or maybe not? Who knows! But I don't think yelling at them hurts.

Happy Hour Thread

Gonna market my own version of the vaccine!

Another Step Towards Full Communism

Details matter, but... good!

Rudy's Taint Team

The worst job in the country.
Federal prosecutors have asked a judge to appoint an outside lawyer to review the records seized from Rudolph W. Giuliani — echoing the Justice Department’s pursuit of a criminal case against a previous attorney for former president Donald Trump, Michael Cohen.

...

It is not that unusual for authorities in a case involving lawyers’ records to use a “filter” or “taint” team to review seized material and decide what information is relevant to the warrant and keep separate any information that is covered by attorney-client privilege.

Getting Bigger

These are estimates, not the Census counts (which might be garbage so I'll take the estimates).

Decennial population peaked at 2,071,605 in 1950. Trough at 1,517,550 in 2000.

Innovations In Human Resource Management

Incredible what they come up with.
As March drew to a close, Klavon's Ice Cream Parlor in the Strip District found itself without enough workers for the upcoming spring and summer rush, and it certainly did not have enough workers to open the shop to its desired seven days a week schedule.

Then, on March 30, the parlor announced it would more than double the starting wage for the roles, going from $7.25 an hour to $15 an hour, a scoop that seemed to captivate workers throughout the region and one that earned a significant amount of local media coverage.

"It was instant, overnight. We got thousands of applications that poured in," Maya Johnson, general manager of Klavon's, said. "It was very overwhelming, very. People were coming in by the next day that it broke on the news, they were coming in, filling out paper applications. I was doing on-the-spot interviews."

Any time I think about the math for hospitality jobs, it makes no sense that an extra few bucks an hour for labor (one of many inputs) is going to put all these places out of business.

My long belief is that labor costs are the one things managers have any control over - especially with chain and franchise operations where everything else is 100% controlled by The Brand - and so they're insane about it. A good manager is a manager who minimizes labor costs. That's all they can do.