Saturday, November 02, 2024

So The Polls Are Just, Like, Your Opinion, Man

Some people say Cohn (NYT) added that last line after criticism, but I haven't verified that.
At the same time, the 2016 and 2020 polling misfires shattered many pollsters’ confidence in their own methods and data. When their results come in very blue, they don’t believe it. And frankly, I share that same feeling: If our final Pennsylvania poll comes in at Harris +7, why would I believe it? As a result, pollsters are more willing to take steps to produce more Republican-leaning results. (We don’t take such steps.)